If he continues to be adamant, by continuing, even after he locks the No. 1 ranking, he will be meeting the rare visitor, before the curtain falls.
Four tournaments in five weeks? At the end of this long season? With those stupid exhibitions to follow? After four-year compression?
Might as well roll out the red carpet, and print out the invitation card, for that dreadful sighting.
Lesson to be learnt, is to crank it up in the front end of the season, to avoid the ‘must win’ situation this late. With the backdrop of heavy duty compression of four years, you don’t need this tension, so late in the season.
Is this going to be the classic case of ‘higher they go, harder they fall’, or will Federer, or someone in his camp, realize it’s time to reschedule and pace?
That analogy of riding a tiger, comes to mind. The thought of being eaten alive if you get off, sometimes takes you straight into the wall, with obvious consequences.
Now, the question is whether he wants to continue the frenetic activity of the last four years, and get what he wants NOW, or pace himself and spread the jam over a longer haul, while still achieving the desired result.
He needs to sit down and write a goal, which he must have. Anything over, is all gravy. You cannot just go blindly, trying to get as much booty as you can. For instance, 18 Grand Slams is realistically possible, if meticulously planned without killing yourself in the process, and with a strong possibility of falling short.
At times, it becomes an ego issue, since scaling down the schedule would mean, you are admitting, to be not fit enough to run with the wolves anymore. Besides, any time you are out of circulation, it takes a while to psychologically get back on the tour.
It’s like being absent in school for a couple of days. When you come back, you have that strange ‘not in the groove’ feeling for a couple of days.
Federer has to take the ‘post 26′ era as a marathon race. All the stats are enough proof, as to what one can reasonably expect, as a norm. You cannot go by the exceptions, like Agassi and Connors. If that happens, great.
But you have to err on the side of caution, and base your plans now, on what has been the rule, not the exception. Specially with the crazy activity you have had for the past four years.
With the post FO hiatus, followed by Wimbledon leave, and then the doctor’s advice crap, Federer is certainly pushing it. Maybe he knows it, but has little choice, knowing how dear the No. 1 ranking is to him.
If he follows through with his current schedule, and comes clean, I will release one goat to wilderness. You have no idea, how hard that is.