Federer first event of next season SHOULD be Halle. Yes, you got it right. NOTHING before that. Why?
Because that’s enough time to COMPLETELY and THOROUGHLY recuperate from the incessant abuse the body has undergone for the last five freaking years.
All the BS predictions I have spewed out on Federer so far have surprisingly come true. Even though I was just being my own lunatic self, Federer did his part to make everything come true. So emboldened by my luck I am moving forward to lay down the road map for Federer for at least the next year.
What is the cornerstone and basis for this? No. 14.
You have to be out of your freaking mind if you believe any title, rank or whatfreakingever is more important than that number now. And with the way decisions are currently being made at Federer camp, it’s becoming more and more of a distant possibility that the milestone will ever materialise.
No one freaking knows the logic and rationale of so many knucklehead decisions Federer and his advisers have made this year. 15 losses and a ’lucky’ lone major is enough proof of that.
One thing is guaranteed next season. Not only will there be no Grand Slam next year, but those final and semifinal berths Federer reached this year at significant events will move down couple of notches to quarterfinals and beyond.
The most matches Federer could have lost this season were 20, and he ended up with 15 (four titles and one withdrawal at Paris saved him from hitting the ceiling). Also a look at who beat him this year tells the story from another angle:
Murray – three times.
Nadal – four times.
Simon -two times.
Out of these 15 losses:
-Four were in the finals.
-Three in the semis.
-Three in the quarters.
-One is the penultimate opening round.
-Two in the opening round.
-Two in round robin.
Those four final appearances are most likely to completely vanish if next season is played in full like nothing’s happened. And the two opening round losses will balloon to fill in the open space.
Next season cannot be about being in the top ten in the world or an attempt to avoid fines for pulling out of events or accumulating as many titles as possible or winning Roland Garros. You are at a stone’s throw distance from either sprinkling a shiny sparkle to all what you have achieved so far in your career or putting a damp on each and every one of them.
I don’t know how may different ways I have to explain this ‘open writing on the wall’ secret for some brain dead person to get it.
Based on last two years data, the most painless, efficient and assured way of getting to No. 14 now is to step back. And prepare for the high percentage shot at hunting down No. 14: And that’s at Wimbledon. By following this MO, you are on the one hand resting your body mind and whatever else needs rest, while on the other going for the layup on grass – the easiest basket you have ever made.
If you think US Open is even close, based on this year’s result, you have got to be out of your freaking mind. You can only base your future plan of action grounded on what has happened in the past to eliminate most, if not all of the probabilities. And since Halle to Wimbledon run was the most impressive smack in the middle of the worst season of your life, shouldn’t that be the ideal hunting ground for No. 14?
But the two solutions have to be combined to make it as foregone a conclusion as you can get. I mean rest and Wimbledon.
Looking at how Federer has decided to move so far this season, it’s hard to imagine he will change much next year for a variety of knucklehead reasons only he is privy to. Who knows he may get lucky again and hit a vein just in time to win another major, but it won’t be the smartest way to get there. It’s like the blind squirrel who occasionally may get an acorn, but that’s a gamble with high probabilities.