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Prediction on Nadal – Wimbledon title window closed FOREVER two weeks ago.

Posted by tennisplanet on July 22, 2007

This was Nadal’s best shot at winning the prestigious Wimbledon title. Despite Federer serving 24-1 aces, Nadal was clearly more dominant during the rallies specially as the match progressed.

With a wounded and tired Djokovic, and Murray out of the event, Nadal had a mini break. Up 15-40 twice in the fifth set, that is the closest he will ever come to winning Wimbledon.

With new and vastly improved Djokovic and Murray for the remainder of his career, it is difficult to imagine reaching the finals again. Even an out-of-sorts Roddick can be a huge obstacle for him on grass.

Besides, he is bound to have a full clay-court season for the rest of his career. With just about two weeks rest, to prepare at Wimbledon every year, many more ‘knee-like’ scenarios are likely to be played out on Wimbledon courts.

Unless he is willing to take the gamble with the his clay-court schedule, and improve various parts of the game including the serve, it is over for him.

There is a reason why winning Roland Garros and Wimbledon in the same year, is still considered the toughest duo in the tennis world. That both Federer and Nadal came so close to pulling it off, for the past two years, is testamont to their tennis prowess.

It is not the question of who will win first. Federer at the FO or Nadal at Wimbledon. It is whether Nadal will ever win Wimbledon, and second if Nadal will ever reach the No. 1 spot in the world.

Both are not easy to come by with his strong tilt towards clay. He is more likely to make some noise on the hard surface, if he discovers the word ‘pacing’ in the dictionary, anytime soon.

This is Uncle Tony’s job. This is where he has to step in, and manage the schedule, based on the results of the last few years, specially last year. I cannot believe he has not done anything about it already.

Wake up, Aunt Tony and don’t run your guy hard in the ground. You don’t have too many years to be experimenting and testing. Co-operate with the uniqueness of your student and don’t force the issue.

You have to make the schedule adjust to your strengths and weaknesses, and not the other way around. If your guy is so physical and that is his game, you need to throw the word ‘traditional’ out the window.

If you haven’t already noticed the result of that in the past few years, you need to consult with the cucumbers in the grocery mart.

Your job is not done yet. Just getting the guy to the No. 2, specially during Federer’s reign is commendable, but you want more, don’t you?

Open your freaking eyes and other body parts, and let in some freash air and the obvious. If not, start planning your siestas with aunt Tony.


14 Responses to “Prediction on Nadal – Wimbledon title window closed FOREVER two weeks ago.”

  1. Brooke said

    As right as you probably are, I can’t bring myself to admit that Nadal’s Wimbledon window has closed, so I’m taking the positive route. Who’s to say that Djokovic and Murray won’t suffer the same fate next year? And even if they don’t, that doesn’t automatically mean Nadal won’t beat them. If he’s on his game, Djokovic and The Leprechaun better watch out.

  2. Gracie said

    You just might be right, but after Wimbeldon I just had a feeling that Rafa’s serve WILL be the next thing aunt Tony puts him to work on. So what then? A sound serve improves one’s confidence in all the rest of his game, no?

    Yes, he does have competition on the horizon. I even think they may be more of a threat to his number two spot than he is to Roger’s number one in the next year or so. But I think he might have one more good shot at Wimbeldon. And, while there’s a part of me that would be overjoyed to see him do it, I won’t ever be able to get behind him as long as it’s Federer on the other side of the net…

  3. bunnee said

    but brooke, this assumes that murray & djokovic neglect to pace themselves as well… i agree with tp that there are a number of alternate contenders for the wimby spot. et gasquet? all 3 are still young enough to show progress, reach potential. that said, i still believe/fantasize that roger will continue to kick butt & rule supreme!!! he deserves it all, not the least becuz he is so talented. & a nice man!

  4. XFan said

    TP, aren´t you a little bit radical on your statements? After all, I believe I read in these very same pages that Rafa wouldn’t even get to the final this year. If there is something I have clear is that I am never bet my money against Nadal, ever. In fact, if it comes to predictions, mine is that Rafa will get to another hard court final before the year ends.

  5. Jenny said

    I wouldn’t agree Nadal’s window is closed forever. With his fighting spirit and willingness to improve on grass, he will always have more than a good chance. However, in my opinion, I don’t think he will lift this title as easily as some of the pundits have predicted, because all ‘grass guys’ are improving too! You can bet [barring injury], Federer will want this for a 6th time and is still adding to his arsenal.

  6. Fiona said

    Your prediction pretty much tallies with my own tennisplanet. Lets wait and see. BTW Brooke, Murray is actually Scottish and very proud of it. We Irish would love to claim him but we can’t!

  7. More axe said

    Did you polish that column off from last year or what??? LOL.

    Andy Roddick a threat to Nadal? Is that a joke??? Are you serious?

    As for Murray and Djokovic, come back to me when they beat Nadal at a slam, or hell, even if they just win a slam without beating Nadal…then we’ll talk.

  8. Brooke said

    Fiona, yeah I know he’s Scottish; He just reminds me of a leprechaun with that hair : ) .

  9. chieko said

    I do think Nadal has a very good chance at all the surfaces as long injuries and no heartbreak from girlfriend !!

  10. Rob said

    Nadal will be stronger and better in the years to come, and hopefully not have to play 7 straight days of tennis to do it (and still push a fresh Federer to five sets). Bet on the other players sucking wind, not Rafa.

  11. CV said

    Nadal could have and should have won that match.
    Am still trying to figure out what went wrong in
    the fifth set. Having prevailed the worse draw ever,
    rain delays, five setters, knee ingury, he should have
    won. Federer was right on when he admitted that he
    was Lucky.
    Knowing Rafa he will come back Stronger, next time around.
    Come 2008, hopefully he will get a better deal with the
    draw, weather etc.

  12. Gracie said

    True, Nadal could have won that match. I think there was a bit of a turning point there when he got his knee taped, and gave Federer some time to pull his focus back together and let the bad line calls go. Perhaps the difference was that Nadal, after winning the 4th set, was too anxious to keep it going and close out the 5th, whereas Federer might have seen the start of the 5th as a clean slate – with the whole match coming down to just one set. Maybe he was a bit ‘lucky’ to pull out of those two 15-40 games, but once he’d broken Nadal and blew those four unreturnable serves by him in the next game, the ultimate champion rose again.

  13. achilles190 said

    I believe that Rafael will win Wimbledon a few times…..And over Federer if Federer is not careful…….Although Djoivc and Murray are fast improving……they are still not at Nadal’s level physically…….and neither do either posses Nadal’s mental strength to dominate Nadal…….Nadal is a very good player and lerning to be more aggressive each year……Beating Berdych and Youhzny in Wimbedon is a sure sign that he is learing to turn back the flat hard hitting attackers

  14. joao said

    is this the most dated post on this blog?

    Did we really believe this was to be the future of the sport at the time?

    TP, we (really) know nothing!!

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