Like they say, Federer’s last match wasn’t pretty but he will take the ‘W’. He dropped another set, his second of the tournament, to 104th ranked German before finding his rhythm in the third set.
This is the second time he has lost the first set and still managed to win the match. It was obvious from his repeated rush to the net in the first set, that he was attempting something he does not employ so consistently. Was it from Jose’s manual? Who freaking knows? All that we know is that it did not work, at least not to the extent it was intended to, since he lost the first set.
Maybe these tomato cans are giving Federer and Jose an opportunity, to try out new stuff in the hope of finding a formula by the time the RG puzzle arrives.
Here is a look at stats for the three sets, clearly indicating what gets the win for Federer these days:
1st set: 2 aces, 58% first serves in.
2nd set: 3, 70%.
3rd set: 5, 81.
It’s come down to these two stats for Federer now, even against tomato cans. He will have to ride them hard until the bell rings to clear the rest of his game to take off.
I mean this ‘not even in the top 100’ joker had four break points against Federer. He had one even in the third set. If that was not enough, he converted three of them. That’s 75 percent. Just to earn a break point on Federer’s serve was huge. To actually convert them was beyond belief.
You think he made a right decision playing Estoril? You think!!!!!!!!!!!! Can you imagine him going to Monte Carlo with this game? Hope he wins this title to salvage something out of this struggle. More importantly, hope he is able to learn something here, to boost his confidence before the run with the wolves.
So far, it’s not looking good, despite the wins. Davydenko may have won just 12 titles in his nine years on the tour, but he is a far superior player than all the tomato cans combined Federer has faced thus far. Add the Miami title Davydenko just won, Roddick’s win over Federer, he has already won this title once and it makes him even more dangerous.
This is not the transition Federer or his coach would have liked, from wild cards and 100 plus ranked players to a hot No. 4 in the world.
Nevertheless their H2H favors Federer 11-0 with Davydenko winning just three sets overall. However their last meeting on clay at Roland Garros last year was pretty close: 7-5, 7-6(5), 7-6(7).
But for Federer to win this time, with the matches he has played leading up to this final, he will have to produce his old magic worthy of the second best player in the world on clay. For with his current form, it could become outright embarrassing.
Defeat now is not even an option for Federer. The clowns he has faced here make it even more of a dire necessity, more than it ever was at any of the four tournaments he has played so far this season. You think every freaking player on the circuit from the 1000th to Nadal will be glued to the set tomorrow? You freaking bet!!!!!!!!!! Some are already salivating and drooling. Who? Try Roddick, Djokovic and Murray for starters.
Federer has the tennis world on pins and needles right now, desperately and anxiously waiting to exhale a huge sigh of relief tomorrow. Can he pull it off?