Can Djokovic spoil the party?
Posted by tennisplanet on September 10, 2010
Djokovic camp has to be banking on Federer’s full awareness that Nadal is next. The history between Federer and Nadal by now is so deeply embedded in each one’s psyche that it’s reasonable to assume that their impending meeting being so close has to arouse emotions that can disturb what’s on hand – positively or negatively depending on the individual based on past outcome.
Besides, Djokovic has built up his own history against Federer largely grounded in ‘standing up to him’ – something Federer is not too fond of. Besides, the last six matches the two have played – 2009 and beyond – the H2H is 3-3 with Djokovic victories including not just one on clay but one on the hard courts of Basel, Federer’s birth town.
So recent history does not provide any serious dominance from Federer to make this a slam dunk for Federer. Given that this is Djokovic’s favorite surface and he has typically performed well in the second half of the season spoiler alert may not be completely without merit.
But purely based on recent showing from both players it’s hard to imagine Federer losing three sets no matter what. His serve is working so well that breaking him appears near impossible. It’s quite difficult to break when you are being aced on every second point.
But this is Djokovic’s moment to shine with a very real possibility of winning the whole enchilada if he beats Federer. For him it’s the de-facto final – repeat of ’07 final here when he lost to Federer in straight sets – two of them tie breaks. Djokovic has a far greater chance of beating Nadal than Federer – on hard courts. After all, he has defeated Nadal all of the last three times they have met on the surface with overall H2H on hard courts favoring Djokovic 7-3.